Moving Average Crossover Secrets That You Need To Know
Moving averages are one of the simplest and the most popular technical indicators that can be used in any market. While using averages, the length of time used to calculate them is very important. Moving averages with shorter time periods fluctuate more activley and tend to give more trading signals. Shorter time period moving averages tend to whipsaw a lot that can cause losses.
There are three types of moving averages. In case of weighted and exponential moving averages, more weight is given to the recent prices as compared to the old ones making them more responsive to recent price action as compared to the simple moving averages. Simple averages are calculated by dividing all the prices with the number of time periods used to calculate the average.
On the other hand, longer time period averages move slowly with a smoother curve that can be slow in giving trading signals for entering into a long or short position. Now many traders use a combination of slow and fast moving averages in generating trading signals.
Most traders use the combination of three averages. When the short period average crosses the medium one, this gives a trading signal but this need to be confirmed. Confirmation is obtained when the short and the medium move above the longer period average. Futures traders use the combination like 4,9 and 18 period averages. Stock traders use longer periods like the 40 day, 100 day and 200 day to generate trading signals.
Now next to trendlines, moving averages are the most widely used technical indicators. So when using moving average crossovers, when the short period average is above the long period average, you should be long. Similarly when the short period average is below the long period average, you should be short.
The crossovers of these short and longer averages provide the trading signal to act as they indicate that the momentum is shifting from one direction to another. Moving average crossovers are an important tool in the arsenal of any trader. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) one of the most popular indicator depends on them.
However, when trading with these crossovers, you should know this that these averages are lagging indicators. What this means is that they are giving a signal about the past price action something that has already taken place. These averages work very well in a trending market but do not work well in non trending or choppy markets.
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Why Silver Is More Valuable As Compared To Gold-How It Might Exceed $400/oz
Now we all know that gold prices are breaking historical barriers. But how about Silver? Silver as an investment has ten times more potential to skyrocket in the next few months as compared to gold. In this article, I will show you how silver can exceed $400/oz in the coming few months, so read on.
Now, in the decade between 1970 and 1980, gold and silver both had seen an unprecedented bull market. Gold prices rose from $35 per ounce to $850 per ounce during that period of ten years. This was an increase of 2,329%. Not bad huh! Many investors who had invested in gold in those days, still remember those days with nostalgia.
During the same decade between 1970 and 1980, silver prices rose from $1.5 per ounce to almost $50 per ounce. This was an increase of 3,233%.Right now, silver prices are hovering in the range of $17 per ounce. Just imagine, silver prices skyrocketing to around $400 per ounce in the next few months. This will be an unprecedented gain of over 2,000%. So don’t miss this chance of investing in silver right now!
Now, industrial applications of silver are much wider as compared to gold. As the global economy comes out of the recession finally in this year and starts to expand again, you will see a huge rise in the demand of silver.
The most important application of silver is as an electricity conductor. Silver wires are used as high tension cables. You will be surprised to know that silver is also used in a number of household appliances like refrigerators, washing machines, wall switches, fuses and so on.
Silver is used extensively in photography. This use might decrease as digital photography replaces traditional photography. But this will be replaced by new uses of silver in other industries.
Now, take a look at your computer, every computer, server, monitor, cell phone and switch has silver. Lasers, satellites, high-tech weaponry and robotics, all require silver. Digital technology and telecommunications need silver.
Double Layer of silver on a glass in a window shields the house from almost 95% of sun rays during summers. Silver is used widely in the glass and window making industry.
Silver achieves the most brilliant polish of any metal and is the best reflector of light, allowing it to be used in mirrors and in coatings for glass, cellophane or metals. Chemical reactions can be significantly increased by adding silver. Approximately 700 tons of silver are in continuous use in the world’s chemical industry for the production of plastics.
So, you can well imagine as the global economy starts to expand again and the demand for these products and services increase, you will see a skyrocketing of silver prices.
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A Highly Reliable Chart Pattern-M Tops And W Bottoms
As a trader, you need to know when the price action reaches its peak or its bottom as it can herald the start of a new trend. How do you find out that the market is at its top or bottom? When you spot the famous Double Top or the Double Bottom Chart Pattern or what you may call the M or the W Chart Pattern, it means that the price action has reached its top or the bottom and is about to reverse itself.
These chart patterns are formed due to the behavior of the buyers and sellers in the market. They don’t appear all of a sudden out of thin air. What they represent is the mass psychology prevading the market. Now, when an uptrend starts, everyone wants to jump on the bandwagon. Traders and investors are desperate to ride the trend as soon as possible. This starts heavy buying in the market that pushed the price action up.
This first peak in the price action forms the first leg of the M in the chart pattern! But this upward push ultimately at some point loses its momentum. When it does, buying stops and selling starts. This is the top of the market or the peak in the price action.
When selling starts, price action begins to fall. Selling is now driving the price action down. Those traders who had long positions, now want to take profit and exit. This selling continues until a point is reached where buyers again jump into action driving the prices up again. This results in the formation of a second peak in the pattern that might be close to the first peak or lower than it. If the second peak is higher than the first, the chart pattern formed is the Head and Shoulder Pattern.
However, in almost majority of the cases, the second peak is lower than the first. The second buying rally has a peak that is lower than the first. When the second peak is reached, the buying stops and selling starts, this forms the second leg of the M pattern.
The W in the pattern is formed in almost in the similar fashion but in this case there is a downtrend. The first part of W is formed when the first bottom is reached. This is sort of a support where buyers jump in. Falling price action reaches it bottom, climbs again and then falls again forming the W Chart Pattern.
When buyers start buying, price action begins to rise again till it reaches its high and then falls again. Whatever, these Double Top and Double Bottom Patterns or what you call the M and W Chart Patterns are highly reliable indicators of price reversal. However, you need to confirm them with volume before you trade on these patterns.
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Profitable Candlestick Trend Confirming Patterns-Separating Lines And Bullish Thrusting Lines
You are trading stocks. You have bought low when the uptrend started. You won’t to get out now before the trend reversal happens. But you are not sure. You don’t won’t to leave profits on the table by getting out early. So how to know that the trend is still in place and you can continue riding the trend for more profit. Candlestick charting and candlestick patterns can help you know whether the trend is about to continue to reverse itself. There are a number of trend confirmation patterns that you can use. Thrusting Lines Candlestick Pattern is on such pattern.
There are as usual two types of thrusting lines candlestick patterns-bullish as well as bearish. Bullish thrusting lines candlestick pattern is a long bullish candle on the first day. The second day or what you call the signal day, it is a bearish candle with a gap opening with price higher than the high of the setup day. However, the close of the signal day should be above the midpoint of the setup day.
What this means is that on the first day, bulls had been in charge of the market. On the second day, bulls push a security to have a gap opening. This brings in some sellers but the bears are unable to push the price above the middle of the previous day. This means that bulls are still around and are poised to take control of the market again.
When a Thrusting Line Candlestick Pattern is formed, it means that the trend is going to continue in the future. You can safely keep on riding the trend when you find this pattern.
The second important candlestick trend confirming pattern is the bullish separating lines pattern. This pattern is formed when on the setup day, you find a long bearish candle meaning that the bears have been in total control throughout the days.
The second day candle is a bullish one with the open equal or almost equal to the open of the previous day. This is the distinguishing feature of this pattern. The bullish separating lines confirm an uptrend. The setup day is bearish. The bears decide that the price is right to start selling.
Now, the bulls are in total control of the market meaning that the uptrend will continue. On the second day, bulls start massive buying making the opening price equal to the opening price on the first day.
However, these patterns do not appear frequently and are somewhat rare. But whenever, they do make an appearance, they can be highly profitable if spotted correctly. When these candlestick patterns appear on the chart, it means that the trend is going to continue.
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Futures Trading Exchanges
Most of the people who invest in stocks, only know about the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or the NASDAQ over the counter market. Futures trading is one of the ways to grow your wealth. There are many dozens of futures contracts that you can trade ranging from crude oil, gold, ethanol, heating, gasoline, silver, copper, wheat, corn, coffee, soybeans, pork bellies, cattle, interest rates, currencies and others.
If you want to profit from commodities than futures trading is the best and direct method of getting access to the commodity market. There are several active futures trading exchanges in the US. Three of the world’s largest futures exchanges are located in Chicago.
The largest futures trading exchange in US is Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). A large number of futures contracts get traded on CME that includes commodities, stock index futures, foreign currencies, interest rates, environmental futures and others.
The commodities futures that get traded on CME include live cattle, milk, lean hogs, feeder cattle, butter, limber, pork bellies, Goldman Sachs Commodities Index and fertilizer.
Major stock index futures contracts like the S&P 500, S&P 500 Midcap, S&P Small Cap 600, NASDAQ Composite, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000 and their corresponding E-Mini contracts also get traded on CME.
Other important futures contracts that get traded on CME include single stock futures, futures on ETFs and futures on Japanese Nikkei 225 Index. CME group also has the GLOBEX Electronic Trading Platform that allows electronic trading of futures contract almost around the clock.
The second most important futures exchange is the CBOT ( Chicago Board of Trade). Mini contracts on corn, soybeans and wheat are also available for trading on CBOT. The futures contracts that are available on CBOT include agricultural futures like the soybeans, ethanol, rice, corn, wheat and others.
Interest rate related futures contracts that get traded on CBOT include Treasury Bonds, FED Funds, spreads, municipal bonds, German debt and swaps. Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures popularly known as Dow futures and its E-Mini version plus gold and silver futures and their mini versions also gets traded on CBOT.
The next major futures trading exchange is the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). This is infact the global hub for energy trading and offers futures contracts on light sweet crude, natural gas, unleaded gasoline, heating oil, electricity, propane and coal.
NYMEX also provides you with the opportunity to trade precious metals like the gold, silver, platinum as well as palladium. You can also trade metals like copper and aluminum on NYMEX. Futures trading is something that is not difficult to do once you get the hang of it. In the beginning, you should just paper trade these contracts for a few months!
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