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Why Buy Gold Stocks?

One of good methods to participate in the present gold bull market is via having shares of gold mining firms. Actually, a number of qualified gold pundits think that mining share holders will ultimately make more money when compared to those who only buy gold bullion. I normally believe this view. But, lest there exist any confusion, let me as well point out that owning gold bullion should be the Base of one’s precious metals portfolio. It’s only after one has established a position in owning physical gold bullion that one should think purchasing gold shares.

Earlier purchasing some mining shares, it is usually important to know if one is investing or speculating. As mentioned in one more article on this topic, there’s a difference. As in other sectors of markets, there is mining shares which are investments, as well as there are those which are speculative plays. In all candor, more mining shares are dangerous, speculative stocks above real investments, as defined by the famous Graham as well as Dodd. However, depending on quantity of risk one can tolerate, speculating in mining stocks could be an particularly rewarding method. Actually, people who speculate in mining sector were the ones who have the chance of the greatest gains. Elsewhere in this subject, I mentioned the truth that Google (GOOG) stock has gone from almost $100 per share to more or less $700 per share from the company’s IPO. It might surprise you, but, in the mining share sector, that kind of share cost increase will not be that strange. In the other hand, it’s also common to view one’s portfolio move down through 20% to 30% when the precious metals go through one of their repeated pullbacks. Speculating in the mining shares isn’t for everybody! There may be a lot of stomach-churning moments!

Luckily, there are a variety of mining companies whose shares meet up Graham as well as Dodd’s definition of investment. We’ll chat about one of these companies initially. Then, I’ll mention a few of the other types of most speculative methods that to invest in the mining sector. I own shares in companies which do meet the Graham and Dodd definition of investments. However, I also have shares in mining companies that are highly speculative. I don’t necessarily suggest these types of stocks for most people.

My favorite gold company that to INVEST is Goldcorp (GG/NYSE). Why? Firstly, their flagship mine is situated in Canada, one of the most politically stable nations for natural resource investment. There are several very promising gold deposits in the Venezuela, but understanding what you understand about Hugo Chavez, might you need to risk your dollars in that country? Goldcorp has its projects in Canada, the U.S., Mexico, Chile, and Argentina. Each of these countries are “mining-friendly,” therefore there is comparatively less geopolitical danger. Goldcorp is bought and sold on the NYSE, thus it is most “liquid” as far as mining stocks are concerned. As a significant gold providing business, its stock price is more less unstable than if it were a junior producer or an exploration company. So, if preservation of one’s principal is important, Goldcorp is a better bet than a smaller mining company. Goldcorp have also paid a dividend Each MONTH for a number of years. Therefore, Goldcorp investors make a return on their principal. Because we are in a bull market for precious metals, Goldcorp’s share price have moved high quite considerably. Therefore, when one buys Goldcorp stock, individual also takes an opportunity to enjoy share price appreciation.

There are more causes to like an firm like Goldcorp. Back in the 1990s, once we are in a bear market for valuable metals, various mining businesses hedged by agreeing to sell future production at the at that moment-existing charges. This strategy worked well at some time when the cost of gold was not going up. It allowed firms to lift much-required funds. However, hedging is really a terrible plan while the price of gold is going up. Yow will discover that the cost of gold have gone up hundreds of dollars for every ounce at the time you’re forced to make the sale. As a shareholder, how may you feel if your company had approved to sell upcoming production of gold for $300 per ounce, but the cost of gold had subsequently moved approximately $850 per ounce by the time the gold was that should be sold? There are a few businesses which has made these types of bad decisions. Goldcorp has not engaged in the any hedging or forward sales of production.

Next positive attribute of Goldcorp is that, unlike another chief producers, it’s “locked in” chief known valuable metals deposits on behalf of upcoming production. In 2006, Goldcorp merged with Glamis Gold, a company together with most important assets in Mexico. World gold production have actually been declining over the last few years, as well as there are a few experts who consider that we could have already reached “Peak Gold” regarding our capacity to improve future production. Goldcorp has the capability to include to its production or, at the very least, keep its production at a top level. Lastly, it has one of lowest for each ounce costs of production of any main gold making company. The lower the price, the larger the earnings margin, in particular in a bull marketplace for gold!

What regarding other kinds of gold mining companies? Along with the key producing businesses, there are lots of smaller producers as well. Only some, if any, of those businesses pay dividends, as well as their shares tend to be more “thinly traded” when compared to the shares of Goldcorp or other “majors.” Hence, most minor producers, even those who have important determined reserves in the ground, will not meet Graham and Dodd’s standards for being an investment. But, it may still make sense to purchase shares in smaller producers as an “informed speculation.” A significant company often concludes that it is inexpensive to acquire a less significant company with known deposits than to spend the cash on exploring for added gold or else silver. In the current conditions of decreasing production moreover increasing overheads of production, I think that many smaller companies can be acquired through bigger companies. When one may find a company which is a prime “takeover candidate,” one has a chance for significant share cost appreciation.

Last but not least, there are the small exploration companies. The majority of these firms are traded on the Toronto markets or over the counter. They’re lightly traded and extremely volatile. When one purchases shares in these firms, one should be ready to reduce one’s complete investment since an exploration company would never discover a major amount of gold, much less go into production otherwise sell what it needs to a significant company. Several such ventures become worthless. However, if an exploration company identifies a major deposit, it could become a very attractive target for acquisition, and that is when shareholders can see huge profits.

One exploration company which has like potential is Northern Dynasty (NAK/AMEX), also discussed in Jim’s Picks. In past 2002, Northern Dynasty was basically a penny stock, having a share cost of about $0.40/share. As of early 2008, it had been selling for about $13.00 /share. Why? Initially, Northern Dynasty has identified what’s possibly the world’s largest undeveloped deposit of gold, copper, and molybdenum in Alaska. There are some environmentalist obstacles to going into production, but it may occur that Northern Dynasty will in the end be able to take its deposits into production. However, it is even more expected that Northern Dynasty will be bought by a bigger mining company, and that’s most probably the real reason for why the company’s stock has had a great high percentage surge. Two major companies, Rio Tinto and Mitsubishi, have bought large stakes in Northern Dynasty. A third, Anglo American, have entered right into a collaboration with Northern Dynasty to develop one among its projects. While the actually large money decides to have involved with what was once a small exploration company, there is a excellent chance that Northern Dynasty is a “real deal.” It will probably be acquired by one of the companies which have by now get involved with it as an investor or as a partner. In alternative, it will have the financial clout to go into production. Either way, one can see its merits.

Unfortunately, not all exploration firms turn out as well as Northern Dynasty appears to be doing. Many never find something important, or they’re unable to raise enough funds to engage in costly process of exploring. Drilling isn’t cheap, plus expenses has escalated over the previous few years. Some exploration companies move out of business. If one is usually considering speculating in exploration stocks, one of most crucial things one can do would be to figure out about the people who find themselves concerned with the company. In the case of Northern Dynasty, their administration team is comprised of the top executives of Hunter Dickinson Group, one of the most highly respected Canadian companies in mining development business. They’ve a successful track record. There are more exploration companies which also have experienced people in administration and ownership. Those are the kinds of companies I like if I am going to bet with a tiny percentage of my portfolio. People who has before brought a project into production are much more likely to do it again than people who haven’t, but exploration companies remain risky. Even with the most excellent people involved, there isn’t any guarantee that an exploration company can be successful.

Many concluding comments come in order. For most people, investment is the only approach to go. If you buy Goldcorp, you generally know very well what you’re getting. Another company I prefer is Agnico Eagle (AEM/NYSE). I will talk about them in the upcoming issue. Even if you purchase firms such as GG plus AEM, you obtain relative stability and dividends. You have fewer stomach-churning moments! Many people shouldn’t speculate. It’s just like gambling. Never risk any money you cannot afford to lose. If you do decide to make a bet on the speculative mining company, make sure that your bet is an educated bet. Risk only a small part of your money on anyone speculative bet. We are in a major bull market for mining shares. Those who have invested as well as speculated wisely from 2000-2001 has made very well. It is not too late to participate in the bull market, given that you should do your homework.

Gold Market Monitor is a subscription based membership site that uses an exclusive gold timing strategy. It shows its members the best time to invest in gold bullion or gold stocks and when to exit to the safety of cash. Try the Gold Market Monitor for 60-days and safely profit from up and down trends in the gold market.


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